Trump's Capture of Maduro: Turning a Global Superpower into a Lawless Actor
Within the immense confusion regarding the United States attacks on Venezuela, the apprehension of President Nicolás Maduro, and Donald Trump's announcement that the US will “run” the country and “reclaim the petroleum resources”, there is no doubt – this establishes a truly chilling precedent.
A Dark Legacy and an Unprecedented Move
The United States carries a troubling legacy of interference, invasion and occupation in Latin America, but the early hours of Saturday witnessed its initial significant armed assault on the continent of South America. “The preeminence of America in this region is now beyond dispute,” the President stated.
The choice to militarily strike another state and seize its president – mere days after he stated a desire for negotiations – possesses far-reaching consequences. This ought to concern everyone.
A Nation Left in Limbo
Venezuelans have lived through a dictatorship marked by theft and failure under Mr Maduro, widely believed to have stolen the last election. They now face extreme instability in the best case. Mr Trump has remarked that Maduro's second-in-command, Delcy Rodríguez would comply with American demands, and dismissed prominent critic and Nobel prize-winner María Corina Machado as a credible successor.
However, Ms Rodríguez, now the temporary head of state, has so far adopted a posture of resistance – and other factions of the decapitated regime are even more hardline.
A Shift in Global Role
A man who was elected vowing to end foreign wars now says he is “unconcerned about deploying troops”. Rebranding the Department of Defense as the Department of War was a substantive signal. He no longer views the world’s superpower as a international peacekeeper; he is turning it into a lawless actor.
He believes that the US’s might allows it to do as it wishes with little consequence: observe the strikes on Nigeria, on Iran’s nuclear facilities. He promises that Venezuelan oil means this most recent venture “will pay for itself”.
An Illegal Assault on Sovereignty
George W. Bush initiated war in Iraq on a lie. But this action without legal basis came absent any United Nations mandate or authorization from lawmakers; the opposition party was kept in the dark and say they were given false information in briefings. Mr Trump doesn’t seek to bend international norms, but to obliterate them.
Disregard the signal this transmits to Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping and others, and ask where the US itself is heading. While the raid allegedly resulted in the deaths of 40 Venezuelans, including civilians, no US personnel died. Mr Trump’s increasing belief in his impunity will almost certainly fuel additional military gambits.
Flimsy Justifications and Underlying Drivers
No one buys the pretext that this is about drugs. Venezuela is only a secondary pathway for cocaine; Mr Trump recently exonerated the former Honduran president Juan Orlando Hernández for drugs and weapons crimes. Mr Trump himself has been explicit that he is driven by the promise of energy wealth as well as machismo, the ideology of some in his administration, and the appetite for triumphalism as domestic popularity wanes.
Tepid International Response and Waning Global Governance
The worldwide reception, especially in Europe, has – with notable outliers – been shockingly muted. That’s not because of Mr Maduro’s sins, but trepidation regarding Mr Trump’s wrath. The forceful statement from UN Secretary General António Guterres was commendable, but this episode highlights the waning power of international bodies.
Mr Trump’s voters who oppose foreign entanglements could yet press him to turn attention back home – but rising medical costs, financial discontent and distracting files make foreign conflicts more appealing.
Barely 12 months into his presidential term. The international community may regret it if they fail to speak up today, with the question of which nation is next looming.